Your First 90 DaysAcademy
Act III · The Judgment · Week 10 · Checkpoint 20

How to a Project Evaluate

By the end of this you will own a repeatable ten-minute method: four lenses you run on any project, the red flags each one surfaces, and the disqualifiers that end the conversation early.

11 steps~23 min3 nodes for your map
01 · The advice with the method missing

Someone hears about a project on a Friday night. The feed is loud, the chart is up, and the only guidance they were ever given was three letters: DYOR, do your own research. They open a website, see confident words and a big number, and feel researched. By Monday the position is down badly.

The advice was not wrong. It was just hollow. Nobody told them what to research, in what order, or what answer should make them walk away. This checkpoint fills that gap with an actual procedure you can run in about ten minutes.

02 · The used-car inspection

Think about buying a used car from a stranger. You do not get into a debate about whether the seller seems honest. You run a checklist. You read the service history, you look under the hood, you take it around the block, you check who actually owned it.

Evaluating a project is the same move. You are not trying to feel good about it or argue with the pitch. You are running four fixed checks, in order, and listening for what each one tells you. The four lenses are team, token, traction, and trust.

03 · Lens one: team

Start with who is driving. Back in the culture lesson you learned the real test is not whether a founder hides their face, it is whether their claims can be checked. An anonymous builder with public code and a track record is more verifiable than a real name with nothing behind it.

Tap each row to see what to look for, and the one thing that turns this lens red.

0 of 4 team checks revealed
04 · Lens two: token

Second lens, and you already own the tool for it. In the tokenomics lesson you learned to read a token like plumbing: faucets pour supply in, drains pull it out, and the float is only the sliver trading right now while most of the tub can be waiting offstage.

Tap each row to see the token checks, and the selling-pressure flag nobody in the pitch will mention.

0 of 4 token checks revealed
05 · Lens three: traction

Third lens: is anyone genuinely using this thing? This is the find-the-tenant question from the earning lesson, pointed at usage instead of yield. Real traction is people who would stay if the rewards stopped. Manufactured traction is activity that exists only because the project is paying for it.

On-chain activity can be read on a block explorer, but you have to read it honestly. A thousand transactions from five wallets cycling tokens is not a thousand users. A subsidy can rent a crowd, and the crowd leaves with the subsidy.

A new project shows huge daily transaction counts, but the activity started the same week a token-reward program launched. What is the honest read?
06 · Lens four: trust

Last lens: the security posture. In the previous checkpoint you learned the difference between the word audited printed on a landing page and a published report you can actually open: who reviewed it, what scope they covered, and whether the issues they found were fixed.

Tap each row to see the trust checks, and the flag a confident logo cannot cover.

0 of 4 trust checks revealed
07 · The disqualifiers

Most red flags are reasons to look harder. A few are reasons to stop. These are the disqualifiers, and the rule is simple: any single one of them, on its own, ends the conversation. You do not need all four lenses to come back clean to walk away. You need one of these to come back true.

There are three. An anonymous team making claims you cannot verify while the treasury is already unlocked and movable. A yield where you cannot name a single payer. A selling-pressure schedule that the project itself never mentions. None of these needs a second opinion.

08 · Run the four lenses on one page

Here is a project page on the bench. Every detail is invented, but each one has real cousins you will see on any given week: a loud headline, anonymous handles, a thin float with an unmentioned unlock, activity that started with the rewards, and the word audited with no report behind it.

You are not guessing now. You have four lenses and a list of disqualifiers. Run them on the page and say what it tells you.

Scenario
Run team, token, traction, and trust on this page. What is the honest verdict?
09 · What a good page looks like

Now the same four lenses on a different, also fictional, page. The method is not only a way to find bad projects. It is a way to see what an honest one offers, so you know the difference and do not treat every project as a predator.

Team: a public repository with a real history you can read. Token: an unlock schedule published openly, nothing hidden. Traction: people paying to use it, with activity that predates the rewards. Trust: an audit report you can open, plus a bounty and timelocks. Calm where the other page was loud, evidence where it had urgency.

10 · Where the method stops

It is tempting to read a clean inspection as a green light to bet everything. That is the one mistake this whole lesson can accidentally cause, and it is worth naming before you leave.

Limit test
A friend says: "I ran all four lenses and it passed clean, so I am putting my whole savings in." Where is he wrong?
11 · From the project to the market

So DYOR finally has a method behind it. You run four lenses in order: team, the verifiable people behind it; token, the plumbing and the hidden unlocks; traction, real usage versus rented activity; trust, the security posture you can actually open. Any one disqualifier ends it early, and a clean pass still gets sized carefully, because the method filters out the bad and cannot certify the good.

But here is the harder truth waiting in the next lesson. You can pick a genuinely good project and still lose money, because the market has its own reflexes that have nothing to do with the project itself.

So the next question is not about any single project. It is about you, and the crowd, and price. Next: why do beginners systematically lose money in these markets, and what small set of behaviors flips the odds?

your balance2,400
BANK_DBowner: the bank
you2,400
what the app is actually showing you
BANK_DBowner: the bank
you2,400their pen
you hold a claim. they hold the pen.
your digital life
BANK · you2,400the bank ✍
INSTAGRAM · you2.1M followersMeta ✍
STEAM · you134 gamesValve ✍
AIRLINE · you58,200 milesthe airline ✍
four tables. zero pens that are yours.
BANK_DBowner: the bank
you2,400
DENIED
try both pens
PLATFORM_DBowner: the platform
her · 8 years2,000,000 followers
one automated decision away
BANK_DB · you · 2,400intentcompetencecontinuity
your row stands on all three
FTX_DBowner: FTX
you5 BTC
the backing vault●●●●●
the row stayed. the backing did not.
CARD_DBowner: your bank ✍
TV you never bought−1,100
fraud reversal+1,100
someone holds the pen, so someone can fix it
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can a table exist that nobody owns?
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no owner, no pen, no trust?
keeper 1
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keeper 4
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keeper 5
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no THE copy, only copies.
keeper 2
you100
keeper 3
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keeper 4
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keeper 5
you100
your copy
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five copies. one of them is yours.
one attacker
one attacker, ten thousand faces.
real machinesburned wattsnext page, sealed
writing costs watts. faking voters buys nothing.
cost paid OUTSIDE: hardware and power
proof of work, burn energy to vote.
page 1you · 100page 2you · 100page 3you · 100page 4you · 100
rewrite one line, break every lock after it.
office lunchtrusted keeperconsensusfive keepers, real cost
the price buys trustlessness. the office already has trust.
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ownerless ledger
you?
a key, not a login?
nobody owns the table. so who owns your row?
dyor-methodred-flagsdue-diligence

Three new nodes on your map

dyor-method · red-flags · due-diligence · +10 Lynx